To arrive at this conclusion, I find it helpful to acknowledge following topics:
- Substantial positions
Vechain with the help of DNV have proven themselves to be reliable, cheap, accessible and easy to onboard. They are showing companies as well as government institutions that they bring an innovation to this market and are ready to bring in a new digital revolution into supply chain management, certification and data verification.
- Business model (SaaS / BaaS)
Vechain’s offering of SaaS coupled with advantages of blockchain create a product that will help its clients digitize and improve supply chain management and certification all the while saving money and improving the supply chain in all its aspects.
- Potential
These unique technical aspects of Vechain give it certain advantages over its competitors, whether those offer solutions based on public or private blockchains. Its simplicity and ease of use, combined with it being battle-tested and working without interruptions since 2018, proves that blockchains are the future of digital supply chains.
Following topic points out the negatives and outlines the critique which has a bearish outlook if not addressed in the near future:
- Concerns
All of these concerns do not overwhelm the things that Vechain has already achieved and all of the potential its vision has. It could however delay its expansion and have the potential to loose clients due to lack of recognition. The lack of transparency with the community would also thwart progress and innovation on the “retail side of things” such as DeFi and even potential investors.
The first three topics lead me to a long-term bullish conclusion while the concerns leave a short-term bearish outlook with potential for change.
An Introduction to Vechain (VeChainThor Blockchain)
Vechain was originally created as a dApp on the ethereum public blockchain in 2015. Later it transitioned into its own layer 1 blockchain in 2018. (see my Post on Cryptocurrency Types to know what a “layer 1 blockchain” is) Its initial idea was to disrupt the supply chain industry by making data actionable, transparent and simplify supply chain management.
The Vechain blockchain, contrary to others, is a hybrid permissioned/public chain. Public meaning that the ledger is open for anyone to see and for anyone to deploy their dApp on it and permissioned meaning that only select members can validate transactions on the network.
The ecosystem consists of 101 authority nodes who validate and process transactions on the chain and “token nodes” (the VET token holders) who have governance power and can participate in all sorts of decisions proposed by Vechain Foundation.
Anybody can apply to become an authority node, however they must fulfill certain criteria and be allowed by the Vechain Foundation (potentially also token nodes in the future).
The Vechain blockchain uses a unique consensus algorithm called “proof of authority” that differentiates it from others.
It also has a unique two token system that powers the whole blockchain.
The VET token has a maximum supply of 86.712.634.466 while the VTHO token which is used to pay for transactions has no supply cap.
VET is also used to power token nodes. These nodes do not require the holder to have any hardware and they do not participate in the consensus algorithm. Anybody can become one if they purchase enough VET tokens. Being a token node holder you are have the following perks:
- Generate additional VTHO
- Ability to participate in governance
- Potential for special rewards from either Vechain Foundation or projects launching on the chain (airdrops)
There are two types of token nodes, economic nodes and X-nodes.
The takeaway is that economic nodes can be created (after having enough VET in the wallet you can make an economic node based on the amount of VET after a certain “maturity” period). X-nodes (which are in form of NFT tokens) however are non-fungible, limited and can only be purchased from other holders on the official on-chain marketplace.
Here are the requirements to be able to power certain token nodes: (you have to have that amount of VET in the wallet, otherwise the node’s token will be automatically burned after a certain time)
Governance consists of the following voting rights:
- Authority nodes: 40%
- X-nodes: 40%
- Economics nodes: 20%
Note that the Vechain Foundation very likely held a majority of authority nodes at inception and may potentially still be in control of its majority, however that is speculation.
Since the blockchain is open for anybody to deploy their dApps, Vechain is home to some decentralized exchanges, NFT marketplaces and even has its own collateralized stablecoin called “VeUSD”. DeFi on Vechain is still very unpolished and underwhelming due to lack of support from the Foundation and incentives. Since DeFi is not the focus, it lacks the appropriate funding and has less interest from developers in comparison to other blockchains such as ethereum.
VeChainThor has already been applied across a diverse array of use cases, aiding the daily operations of corporations and creating new value and efficiencies. Alongside key strategic partners PwC and DNV(formerly DNV GL), VeChain has collaborated with world-leading enterprises including DB Schenker, Walmart China, Bayer China, BMW Group, Groupe Renault, LVMH, BYD Auto, PICC, Shanghai Gas, D.I.G, ASI Group and more. National level partnerships include the Republic of Cyprus, Gui’an New Area (China) and others. See more here (list may be outdated)
Following patents are filed by Vechain Global Technology Sarl in Luxembourg:
- Automobile original factory anti-counterfeiting and tracing system based on block chain technology
- Cosmetic anti-counterfeiting and tracing system based on block chain technology
- Methods, medium, iot device, block chain platform and iot system for recording transportation data of object
- See Others here
Other patents related to Vechain:
Main contributors to the development of the public blockchain is the non-profit Vechain Foundation which has offices in Singapore, China, Luxembourg, Japan, USA and is headquartered in the Republic of San Marino.
Vechain Tech is a for-profit private company that specializes in on-boarding of clients to use the blockchain to improve, simplify and digitize supply chain information, certificates and other types of data.
Substantial positions
Achievements
- Council member of China Animal Health&Food Safety Alliance (CAFA)
- The world`s first 5-Star-Rated Blockchain Service Certificated by TÜV Saarland
- Member of China Non-staple Food Circulation Association (CNFCA), a national-level organisation
- Member of Green Fashion Alliance (GFA)
- Member of Climate Chain Coalition (CCC)
- Member of The Consumer Goods Forum (CGF)
- Sole Public Blockchain Protocol Of The APAC Provenance Council — A Cross-continental Food Supply Chain & Finance Consortium
- Co-Founder of The Belt and Road Initiative Blockchain Alliance (BRIBA)
- Member of Blockchain Infrastructure Alliance (BIA)
- Other Awards and Accomplishments can be found here
Government level adoption
- VeCarbon Management System Gets 3rd-Level National Security Approval (another Source)
- San Marino Republic Adopts VeChainThor Blockchain To Strive To Become The First Carbon Neutral Country
- VeChain and I-Dante Partnered to Create Blockchain Enabled Medical Data Management Platform for Healthcare Provider in Cyprus
- VeChain Builds Government Traceability Platform For The Ongnuid Banner Region, Inner Mongolia, China
This impressive list not only gives this project legitimacy and assurance but also shows just how much Vechain’s influence has spread over the years. Being a member of so many associations / alliances and coalitions gives Vechain an important opportunity where they can promote innovation, lobby for additional advantageous positions and push their products into bigger markets.
Vechain initially had a big focus in Asia where blockchain technology is set to become widely adopted in the near future and is already being used to build the new digital world.
Later it has expanded into Europe where it had setup a headquarters in San Marino. It collaborated and partnered with some European government institutions and companies to create various case-specific products that would utilize its public blockchain to certify and verify certain data.
Vechain’s strategic partner DNV which is an international accredited registrar and classification society headquartered in Norway has launched multiple products in collaboration with Vechain (utilizing its Toolchain SaaS) that use its public blockchain for various purposes. Notable products launched by DNV include:
- Norway in a Box
- My Story
- MyBaby
- VeTrust
- Tag.Trace.Trust
- My Care (used by De Cecco)
- DNV GL’s reclaimed plastic traceability standard
Lately it eyed an expansion into USA where they already acquired a modest integration partnership with OrionOne and a marketing partnership with UFC.
Other recent partnerships include UCO Network and Electi.
However it still has very valuable clients in Asia, namely in China. Which is interested in “seizing the opportunity” and adopt blockchain technology.
Vechain having a very strong presence there from the very beginning, little competition and very favorable regulations allowed it to acquire very favorable positions and enough legitimacy to gain trust of government institutions.
Europe is starting to invest heavily into blockchain and has realized that it has tremendous potential. Keep in mind that blockchain not always means cryptocurrency. government institutions and companies will very likely be more comfortable with implementing private blockchain solutions before utilizing the public ones as they are not mature enough and are yet to prove themselves.
Having strategic partners like DNV is very crucial for Vechain.
Being the world’s largest classification society, DNV has an enormous outreach where they promote the use of blockchain and of Vechain’s products to many clients. This is undoubtedly one of the most crucial strategic partnerships in the whole of the cryptocurrency industry.
Vechain with the help of DNV have proven themselves to be reliable, cheap, accessible and easy to onboard. They are showing companies as well as government institutions that they bring an innovation to this market and are ready to bring in a new digital revolution into supply chain management, certification and data verification.
Certain concerns such as strict regulations and a cryptocurrency ban might be brought up when talking about Vechain. Its unique approach and a carefully designed business model means that they are not affected by any dangerous decisions to thwart innovation.
Business model
Vechain’s business model focuses mainly on offering Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platforms and other types of software to help onboard clients to use the public blockchain without the need to hire specialists. The most popular SaaS platform is Toolchain.
ToolChain is a kit containing all the necessary hardware, software and service protocols to onboard a business onto the VeChainThor blockchain.
There are 3 Versions of the ToolChain kit: Standard, Developer and Channel Partner. This is so that businesses with any levels of technical capability can use VeChain’s technology.
Standard Version
The Standard Version provides standarized application modules, tools and Internet of Things (IoT) devices. It was designed for MSMEs without the capability to develop their own blockchain-based lifecycle management solution. Businesses can be onboarded onto the VeChainThor blockchain within 30 minutes.
Developer Version
The Developer Version is designed for enterprise customers with stronger technical capabilities. It will allow enterprises to develop various applications based on the VeChainThor blockchain tailored to their needs.
Channel Partner Version
Channel Partners will be able to have independent deployment and multi-dimensional customisation of ToolChain.
You can read more about Toolchain here.
Here is an overview of the Platform’s Architecture.
Notable products
- Carbon Footprint SaaS platform
- Food Safety Track & Trace SaaS
- Sustainability Track & Trace SaaS
- General Supply Chain Track & Trace SaaS
- Low-code Deployment PaaS
- Blockchain as a Service platform
Offered solutions
- Sustainability and Carbon Management
- Transparent Supply Chain
- Blockchain Storage
- Smart Agriculture
- Food Safety Traceability
- Sustainable Fashion
- Anti-counterfeiting and Digitization for Luxuries
- Digital Vehicle Passport
- Cold-chain and Smart Medical
The way ToolChain, Vechain’s main offering, fit within the whole ecosystem is quite unique and offers many advantages. It utilizes something called ToolChain Credits (TCC) which is what the client is going to interact with while the blockchain is used in the background without the user even needing to know how it all works:
- Simplicity — Businesses don’t need to manage VTHO or worry about price fluctuations
- Faster onboarding — Steps to deployment are significantly reduced
All these advantages should lead to one thing: Faster adoption for businesses.
One of the most important factors here is regulator-friendly. This allows the platform to function under many circumstances and require far less compliance with additional cryptocurrency specific regulation. Currently regulation is a great barrier to adoption of such technologies, whether companies are being deterred from adoption due to unfavorable regulations or are afraid that such regulations will be introduced in the future. This is how Vechain gained such a strong presence in an environment that is quite hostile towards cryptocurrencies such as China. And China being the world’s second biggest economy, Vechain is positioned to have tremendous potential considering the positions it already has.
According to a recent McKinsey & Company report, technology industry analysts predict further growth in the Software-as-a-Service market, and expect to see the market for SaaS products near $200 billion by 2024.
SaaS has many advantages according to IBM:
- Reduced time to benefit
- Lower costs
- Scalability and integration
- New releases (upgrades)
- Easy to use and perform proof-of-concepts
The cost of using ToolChain and its underlying blockchain and the simplicity to onboard means that companies and institutions start to see the benefits right away such as:
- Improved quality assurance
- Improved payments and pricing processes
- Improved data authenticity
- Improved theft prevention
- Improved transaction flow
- Improved integral traceability
- Improved regulatory compliance
- Improved auditability of the supply chain and other processes
Vechain’s offering of SaaS coupled with advantages of blockchain create a product that will help its clients digitize and improve supply chain management and certification all the while saving money and improving the supply chain in all its aspects.
Having the most partnerships in the cryptocurrency industry and a strong business model coupled with many products is not the only bullish thing about Vechain. Even if it does not compete with other layer 1 blockchains it still has some very unique aspects that are quite valuable in terms potential and contain certain advantages over other well established projects.
Potential
Following aspects help Vechain compete as a layer 1 chain:
- Cost of use
The study “Containerized immutable maritime data sharing utilizing Distributed Ledger Technologies” argues that:
Its two token system plays a crucial part in it:
And this is not accounting the fact that there were times where ethereum’s gas fees skyrocketed for long periods of times. Such cost instability can be very detrimental to a functioning system of supply chain management or any other important system for that matter, even financial.
Ethereum focuses on completely different things and does not even compete with Vechain. But it is still an important aspect to take into consideration.
- Adaptability
The cost of use is a very crucial component of a flourishing product, that is why Vechain Foundation reacted and proposed a vote as soon as it noticed a rise in costs.
In “VeVote Opinion Poll On Adjusting Base Gas Price Of VeChainThor” they stated:
Subsequently an on chain governance vote was submitted where all the token node holders voted which was then followed by a vote from the Steering Committee which eventually led to a decrease of 99% of cost for transacting on the blockchain.
This not only shows that it is cheap to use the blockchain, it also shows Vechain’s adaptability to certain problems that may occur in the future.
- Consensus algorithm (Proof of Authority)
At the time of writing (08.2022) the identities of the authority nodes are unknown except for a few exceptions. But all that is know is that the transactions are processed and verified by entities who have a financial stake in the system and are incentivized to ensure its functionality.
This means that there is a greater engagement between the Vechain Foundation and the authority nodes to ensure that the blockchain always functions properly and avoids forks, which is a very important factor for enterprise clients (which Vechain targets as its costumers). Forks can be detrimental to security, data availability, privacy and even falsification of data. This is why traditional databases are used everywhere, besides being fast and reliable they are also centralized. This ensures that threat actors are able to do less damage than in a completely decentralized environment. This level of protection allows clients to be more confident about Vechain and be sure that it works all the time without issues.
Another big concern that always comes up is that decentralized blockchains can be attacked if enough resources are available (whether in form of hash power for PoW based blockchains or stake for PoS based blockchains). Vechain’s PoA consensus algorithm has neither hash power nor staking / delegating (where the token holder is free to delegate their stake to different entities). This makes it more resilient to attacks thus making it more reliable to the costumers.
VeChain reduces the attack surfaces by preventatively sacrificing some degree of decentralization for increased security.
- Governance
As already outlined above, Vechain’s model allows any token holder (with a certain amount of tokens) to participate in the on chain governance and vote on certain changes to the blockchain or decisions that Vechain Foundation proposes. This coupled with the passive generation of the VTHO token incentivizes people to acquire VET. That way people who are interested in the future of Vechain can have a say in which direction it will go and which decisions will be done along the way.
Another crucial part of governance of the Vechain ecosystem is the Steering Committee, which at the time of writing (08.2022) consists of 5 members. Members of the Steering Committee can be viewed on the official website.
It also has had elections in the past, one of which was in 2021. In it anybody who met certain criteria could apply to be part of the Committee and steer the Vechain Foundation in the right direction.
- Unified leadership
Decentralization can in some cases bring fragmentation of power because of disagreements. Everybody has their own vision and ideas and sometimes conflicts could be the end of good projects. Vechain has a clear vision which is being realized by people who invented it and supported by those who believe it to be a great project. Its mix of centralization and decentralization gives it the stability it requires to service critical clients such as government institutions and the ability to vote on propositions appeases the decentralized nature and vision of cryptocurrencies. Vechain Foundation is the key enabler of the ecosystem as it focuses on building the underlying technology, infrastructure, utilities and services but it also gives an opportunity for others to contribute like their grant program which at the moment is minuscule compared to grant programs of other layer 1 blockchains but might grow bigger in the future.
These unique technical aspects of Vechain give it certain advantages over its competitors, whether those offer solutions based on public or private blockchains. Its simplicity and ease of use, combined with it being battle-tested and working without interruptions since 2018, proves that blockchains can be the future of digital supply chains.
Nothing is perfect, nor does it need to be. Vechain has problems just like any project or company in the world. I would like to point out some concerns that I have found so that you can compare them and decide for yourself whether Vechain is a good investment or not.
Concerns
Some of the following things are apparent when doing due diligence and learning about Vechain. These are in my opinion things that should be addressed and solved.
- Insufficient support for developers and contributors
DeFi and NFTs are, like previously mentioned, still very underwhelming. Vechain’s grant program does not contain many recipients nor a big amount in the program itself to attract developers, contributors and researchers. The lack of DeFi dApps and activity on them is the product of this. There are decent decentralized exchanges for example but they lack features and functionality to attract investors.
A recent hackathon was also underwhelming which resulted in few participants and small prizes.
Foundation’s “One Million USD Grant Program for the Vechain eNFT Ecosystem” back in 2021 garnered some attention in the media and seemingly fizzled out.
Insufficient variety of software (and browser) wallets could also be a deterrent for potential retail investors. This however is not in a very bad shape, there are official wallets and they are decent. Its just that there is no variety which is evident by the lack of interest from developers.
Suggestion: Expand the grant program, organize hackathons and announce bug bounties. It should be clear by now that open-source succeeded and is superior to closed-source software because of open engagement. If this engagement is incentivized the product will become better and thus more attractive to developers who are interested in deploying dApps on Vechain or potentially even contribute or work for it leading to more #ValuableTXs.
- Insufficient growth and devaluation
With so many partnerships and so many clients one would think that the chain would be full of activity. This is sadly not the case.
The amount of transactions (in this case clauses) has not been growing for quite some time and the biggest client doing the most transactions on the chain is Walmart China accounting for around $100 burn of VTHO daily.
Currently the average daily generation of VTHO sits at around 37,10 million units a day while the daily burn sits at around 45,97 thousands. (VTHO is burned when a transaction is sent)
If there is more and more VTHO entering circulation it leads to inflation and devalues the token. The less valuable VTHO is the less attractive it is to hold VET. The only way the system would become healthy and grow is if there are enough transactions to burn more VTHO then the protocol produces. The lack of a growing amount of transactions means that VET becomes less attractive as an investment and also hurts its credibility.
Potential solution for the inflation: The Vechain Foundation is in control of a big amount of VET that constantly produces VTHO. It sometimes gives that VTHO for free to clients and also uses it to pay for ToolChain transaction fees etc. In my opinion it should burn the majority of the VTHO they currently have and start buying VTHO from the open market in order to incentivize people holding VET, since every VET produces VTHO on a daily basis. This is a drastic measure and there could be better solutions, but if nothing will be done the value of both VET and VTHO will continue to devalue drastically.
Suggestion: Bring more transparency, if possible, about the phases of implementation of current clients. If on-chain activity won’t grow then at least there could be some clarity about why it isn’t growing. Usually it simply takes a long time for these things to materialize, but without transparency it feels like all the partnerships are not even real.
- Lack of engagement with community and transparency
Sometimes very little is answered and the concerns keep growing. The Vechain Foundation, apart from the occasional partnership announcement or an AMA does not say very much. There is little community engagement from the side of the Foundation and the transparency has also declined. Vechain’s last Financial Executive Report (vol. 15) was in 08–2021. Before these were coming often but now they have seemingly disappeared.
The last AMA that I am aware of was in 2021.
Suggestion: Bring back the Financial Executive Reports. Transparency is a key factor for legitimacy. Organize more community engagement events, continue with Bootcamp. Sponsor or incentivize social media presence like Podcasts or Youtube channels that are focused on Vechain. But please do not do giveaways or some weird contests. Provide funds to those who will continue to produce content about Vechain, not those who will come for the contest or the giveaway and forget about it. Incentive those who focus on growth of their content like Podcasts.
- Lack of events / conferences(UPDATED)
According to the website coindar.org Vechain had 54 events occur during its existence and out of those only 5 are of significant value such as a brand event, a general event and conference. Its most known event was the “Vechain Summit 2019” with the motto “#CreatingVluableTxs”.
Vechain’s Sunny Lu (CEO) attends conferences and is a speaker in them, but those conferences are not Vechain specific. There needs to be more like the Vechain Summit of 2019 where people can gather to discuss and meet others in order to promote the brand and its products.
EDIT(2023): Vechain announced the HiVe (https://thehivesummit.org/) A big event with good speakers with teased announcements.
Suggestion: Start more events that would promote brand recognition and product among companies and institutions, but ones that would allow retail people to attend and even participate in such as conferences organized by Vechain.
- Lack of a clear roadmap(UPDATED)
Believe me this is hard to find if you look for it, but the only thing there is for a roadmap is this:
This extremely vague and unexciting chart is the only thing there is and its nowhere to even be found on the official website.
There is a technical roadmap that is a little bit more recent:
But this only a technical roadmap for the new consensus algorithm which was announced back in 2020 and still is yet to be finished.
EDIT(2023): A new roadmap was released
This is a big improvement in terms of clarity and transparency. I will keep the rest of this post and suggestion intact so people could have an idea on how things developed over time.
Suggestion: Create a clear roadmap which will explain and show what is being done and what will be done in the future. The community and investors needs to know what to expect and to know if the fundamentals are changing. A chart with extremely vague points is very unprofessional for such a basic yet important document that shows the progress and the vision of a project.
- Lack of transparency around authority nodes
This one has been a constant concern raised by the community over the many years of existence. The fact that nobody besides Vechain knows the entities behind the authority nodes is rather concerning. It also constantly fuels speculation and uncertainty within the community and its investors which moves to those who are outside of Vechain’s ecosystem and are interesting in learning about it.
Suggestion: Disclose a list of entities who are holders of authority nodes who agree to be public about it. If not many will agree to publicly disclose it, show the ones that do and show just how many authority nodes are under the control of the Vechain Foundation.
- Lack of marketing(UPDATED)
According to the latest “The VeChain Foundation Financial Report — 2021 Overview” the Foundation had assets valued at $1,373,691,155 as of the time of the release of the report at January 26, 2022. (Visit my website https://www.devfunds.info/vechain to stay up to date on this information)
In that report it is stated that the spending for the year of 2021 amounts to $18,579,463.
Such a huge treasury is a big potential but only if used correctly. The key term here is used. Money that is not being spent on investments, expansion, marketing and even acquisitions is something that leads to lost potential.
Vechain did start 2022 strong with a big marketing partnership that costed them $100 million. But it still lacks a clear marketing strategy. Some argue that UFC is not the best fit for this, saying that UFC’s audience will not capture the vision and idea of Vechain. Others were delighted that at least something happened in terms of marketing.
Relying on clients alone to do the marketing could mean that the brand will take much longer to expand and not be noticed by potential strategic partners or big clients.
EDIT(2023): In late 2022 there was a big redesign of the logo, Website and many other things. The whole brand got a new improved and clean identity. This will boost the marketability of the brand and it is a big step in the right direction. The marketing strategy is however still not transparent.
Suggestion: Invest in a clear marketing strategy with some respectable company that would promote the brand and be clear and transparent about this strategy to the public.
All of these concerns do not overwhelm the things that Vechain has already achieved and all of the potential its vision has. It could however delay its expansion and have the potential to loose clients due to lack of recognition. The lack of transparency with the community would also thwart progress and innovation on the “retail side of things” such as DeFi and even potential investors.
Please note that the above points are concerns in my opinion. Some may be backed up by the Vechain community, some may not or not entirely.
Conclusion
Vechain, alongside strategic partners like DNV and its collaborations on national levels with government institutions, has big potential to revolutionize the supply chain. Having a great product offering, easy onboarding processes for clients and a huge outreach means it could become the de facto blockchain for digital supply chain management, certification and data verification.
The cryptocurrency and blockchain industries are evolving and are slowly showing the world what they are capable of. Vechain is not your usual hype coin with big DeFi APY/APRs because its focus is on working with corporate clients. They are expanding, growing and working towards the status of being recognized by entire industries as reliable. Just some of their positions and achievements overwhelm the concerns that I brought up because of the size of the scale of those positions / achievements. Working directly with government institutions puts my mind at ease about the success and direction of this project. But that doesn’t mean that the concerns should be ignored. Maybe the Vechain Foundation could take a little bit of their busy time to at least address these concerns to the community or even explain them. Maybe there is a misunderstanding or maybe just a lack of available information.
Either way the vision this project had from the beginning has not changed and that is why I am bullish on Vechain.
This content is for Information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.
Visit my website for financial information of various non-profit foundations that are developing cryptocurrency projects: https://www.devfunds.info/
Visit Vechain Foundation’s official twitter: https://twitter.com/vechainofficial
Follow this twitter account to stay up to date with news related to Vechain: https://twitter.com/eisenreich